Toronto Market Snapshot: November 2025
Toronto's housing market has entered a balanced phase, offering buyers more choice and negotiating power than in recent years. With interest rates declining and inventory elevated, 2026 presents strategic opportunities for informed purchasers.
Why 2026 Is Different for Toronto Home Buyers
After years of intense competition, bidding wars, and rapidly escalating prices, Toronto's real estate market has fundamentally shifted. The aggressive interest rate hikes of 2022-2023 cooled demand, while increased inventory has given buyers breathing room to make informed decisions without the pressure of multiple offers.
As we move through 2026, the market is characterized by balance—neither heavily favoring buyers nor sellers. This creates a unique window of opportunity for purchasers who understand current dynamics, price their expectations realistically, and approach the market strategically.
Whether you're a first-time buyer navigating Toronto's market for the first time, a move-up buyer seeking more space, or an investor evaluating opportunities, this comprehensive guide provides the data, insights, and strategies you need to make confident decisions in 2026.
Key Takeaway: A Buyer-Friendly Environment
With 12.5% more active listings than last year, properties spending an average of 56 days on market, and homes selling for 3% below asking price, buyers have significantly more negotiating power than during the 2020-2021 frenzy. This is the time to be selective, thorough, and strategic.
Understanding Toronto's Current Market Dynamics
Price Trends: Moderation After the Peak
Toronto home prices have adjusted from their February 2022 peak, when the average GTA price exceeded $1.3 million. As of November 2025, the market has settled into a more sustainable range:
Greater Toronto Area (GTA)
City of Toronto (416 Area Code)
These year-over-year declines represent a market recalibration rather than a crash. Prices remain significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels, but the unsustainable growth of 2020-2021 has been corrected. For buyers, this means more realistic pricing and better value compared to the peak.
Inventory and Market Pace: More Choice, Less Pressure
One of the most significant shifts for buyers is the increased availability of homes. The supply-demand balance has moved decisively in favor of purchasers:
- Active Listings: 24,549 in the GTA (+12.5% YoY), with 9,365 in the City of Toronto (+8.1% YoY)
- Months of Supply: 4.9 months—firmly in balanced territory (3-5 months is considered balanced)
- Average Days on Market: 56 days in the GTA (up from 49 days last year), 32 days median in Toronto
- Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio: 45%—indicating neither buyers nor sellers have overwhelming advantage
What This Means for You:
- ✓ Time to conduct thorough due diligence—inspections, neighborhood research, comparable analysis
- ✓ Opportunity to negotiate on price, closing dates, and included items
- ✓ Less risk of being forced into rushed decisions or waiving conditions
- ✓ Ability to view multiple properties and compare options carefully
Property Type Performance: Where the Value Is
Not all property types have adjusted equally. Understanding these differences helps buyers target the best opportunities:
Largest price segment, most affected by interest rate sensitivity
Popular with families seeking more space at lower price points
Steepest decline, creating opportunities for move-up buyers
Most accessible entry point, especially for first-time buyers
The condominium market deserves special attention for first-time buyers. Some downtown Toronto studio units have sold for $300,000 or less in 2025—price points not seen since 2018. These sub-500 square foot units represent genuine entry opportunities in Canada's largest city.
Toronto Neighborhoods: Where to Focus Your Search
Toronto is not a monolithic market. Each neighborhood offers distinct characteristics, price points, and lifestyle advantages. Understanding these differences is crucial to finding the right fit for your needs and budget.
Downtown Toronto: Urban Living and Condo Opportunities
Typical Price Range: $550,000 - $900,000 (condos)
Best For: Young professionals, first-time buyers, investors
The downtown core remains Toronto's most dynamic area, with unparalleled access to employment, entertainment, dining, and transit. The condo market has softened considerably, creating entry opportunities:
- • Studio and one-bedroom units: $300,000 - $600,000
- • Two-bedroom units: $600,000 - $850,000
- • Three-bedroom units: $850,000+
Key Considerations: Condo fees can be substantial ($400-800/month), impacting affordability calculations. However, walkability, transit access (TTC subway, streetcars), and lifestyle amenities offset these costs for many buyers. New construction condo prices are projected to decline 7.3% to approximately $1,425 per square foot in 2025, creating potential value in pre-construction purchases.
Explore Downtown Toronto Listings →North York: Significant Price Corrections
Typical Price Range: $550,000 (condos) - $1,320,000 (detached)
Best For: Families, commuters, value-seekers
North York has experienced more pronounced price declines than the city average, creating compelling value propositions:
- • Detached homes: $1,320,000 median (-18.3% YoY)
- • Condos: $550,000 median (-12.7% YoY)
Why Consider North York: Excellent schools, established neighborhoods, Yonge subway line access, proximity to Highway 401, diverse dining and shopping. The price corrections make this area particularly attractive for buyers who were priced out during the peak.
Transit Advantage: Multiple TTC subway stations (Finch, North York Centre, Sheppard-Yonge) provide quick access to downtown. The new Line 6 Finch West LRT, opening December 2025, further enhances connectivity.
Etobicoke: Family-Friendly with Waterfront Appeal
Typical Price Range: $700,000 - $1,500,000
Best For: Families, professionals seeking space
Etobicoke offers a suburban feel within Toronto's boundaries, with excellent schools, parks, and waterfront access. Neighborhoods like Mimico, Long Branch, and Kingsway are particularly popular.
- • Strong school ratings (important for families)
- • Lake Ontario waterfront trails and parks
- • GO Transit access (Mimico, Long Branch stations)
- • Mix of detached, semi-detached, and townhouse options
Etobicoke represents a middle ground between downtown intensity and full suburban living, appealing to buyers who want space without sacrificing urban amenities.
Scarborough: Affordability and Growth Potential
Typical Price Range: $600,000 - $1,200,000
Best For: First-time buyers, investors, value-conscious families
Scarborough offers some of Toronto's most affordable housing, with significant diversity in property types and neighborhoods. Areas like Agincourt, Woburn, and West Hill provide good value.
- • Lower price points than central Toronto
- • TTC subway access (Line 2 Bloor-Danforth extension)
- • Planned Scarborough Subway Extension (future value driver)
- • Large lots and more space per dollar
For buyers willing to commute or work remotely, Scarborough delivers exceptional value. The planned transit improvements should support long-term appreciation.
East York: Hidden Gem for Value-Seekers
Typical Price Range: $800,000 - $1,400,000
Best For: Families, professionals seeking character homes
East York combines the charm of established neighborhoods with relative affordability compared to downtown. Areas like Leaside, Thorncliffe Park, and Danforth Village offer distinct character.
- • Mature tree-lined streets with character homes
- • Strong community feel and local businesses
- • TTC access (Line 2, bus routes)
- • Proximity to Don Valley trails and parks
East York appeals to buyers seeking neighborhood character and community without the premium prices of areas like Leslieville or the Beaches.
Beyond Toronto: GTA Alternatives
If Toronto prices remain challenging, consider these nearby markets with excellent value and quality of life:
Established city with diverse housing, GO Transit access
Affordable family homes, growing infrastructure
Newer developments, subway extension, strong schools
Tech hub, excellent schools, diverse communities
Upscale neighborhoods, GO Transit, top-rated schools
Premium lakefront living, excellent schools, GO access
Mortgage Rates and Affordability in 2026
Understanding the current mortgage environment is essential for determining what you can afford and structuring your financing optimally.
Current Mortgage Rate Environment
After peaking in 2023, mortgage rates have declined as the Bank of Canada has cut its policy rate from 5.00% to 2.25% (as of December 2025). This has improved affordability, though rates remain above pandemic-era lows:
Fixed vs. Variable: Which to Choose?
With the Bank of Canada in an easing cycle, variable rates may offer savings if further cuts materialize. However, fixed rates provide payment certainty. Consider:
- • Choose Variable If: You can handle payment fluctuations, expect further rate cuts, have financial flexibility
- • Choose Fixed If: You prefer predictable payments, are stretching your budget, or are risk-averse
The Mortgage Stress Test: What You Need to Qualify
All mortgage applicants must qualify at a rate higher than their actual mortgage rate—the greater of:
- • Your contract rate + 2%, OR
- • 5.25% (the minimum qualifying rate)
This stress test significantly reduces borrowing capacity—typically by 15-20% compared to qualifying at the actual rate.
Example: Stress Test Impact
Scenario: Household income $120,000, 4.0% mortgage rate, 25-year amortization
First-Time Buyer Programs and Incentives
Ontario and federal governments offer several programs to help first-time buyers enter the market:
- First Home Savings Account (FHSA): Contribute up to $8,000/year ($40,000 lifetime) with tax-deductible contributions and tax-free withdrawals for home purchase
- Home Buyers' Plan (HBP): Withdraw up to $60,000 from RRSP ($35,000 per person, $70,000 for couples) tax-free for down payment
- Land Transfer Tax Rebate: Ontario first-time buyers receive up to $4,000 rebate on provincial land transfer tax; Toronto buyers get additional $4,475 municipal rebate
- GST/HST New Housing Rebate: Partial rebate on GST/HST paid for new construction homes under $450,000
For comprehensive details on maximizing these programs, see our guide on First-Time Home Buyer Incentives in Ontario.
Affordability Calculator: What Can You Buy?
Use this rough guide to estimate your purchasing power (assumes 20% down payment, 25-year amortization, 4% rate):
*These are rough estimates. Actual qualification depends on credit score, debts, property taxes, condo fees, heating costs, and lender-specific criteria. Consult a mortgage broker for personalized assessment.
Strategic Buying Tips for Toronto in 2026
Success in Toronto's current market requires strategy, patience, and thorough preparation. Here's how to maximize your position:
1. Get Pre-Approved (Not Just Pre-Qualified)
A full mortgage pre-approval (not just pre-qualification) demonstrates you're a serious buyer and clarifies your budget. This involves:
- • Credit check and income verification
- • Rate hold (typically 90-120 days)
- • Clear understanding of maximum purchase price
- • Stronger negotiating position with sellers
2. Don't Skip the Home Inspection
In the current balanced market, you have the leverage to include inspection conditions. Use it. A $500-700 inspection can save you tens of thousands in unexpected repairs.
- • Hire a qualified, experienced inspector
- • Attend the inspection to ask questions
- • Use findings to negotiate price reductions or repairs
- • Walk away if major issues are discovered
3. Research Comparable Sales Thoroughly
With properties selling below asking price, understanding true market value is critical. Research recent sales (last 3-6 months) of similar properties in the same neighborhood.
- • Use HouseIndex's MLS search to view sold prices
- • Adjust for property condition, lot size, renovations
- • Consider days on market (longer = more negotiating room)
- • Factor in seasonal trends (spring/fall typically stronger)
4. Negotiate Strategically
With homes selling 3% below asking on average, don't be afraid to negotiate. However, be strategic:
- • Start with a reasonable offer based on comparables (not lowball)
- • Negotiate beyond price: closing dates, included appliances, repairs
- • Be prepared to walk away if terms don't work
- • Move quickly on well-priced properties in desirable areas
5. Consider Total Carrying Costs
Your mortgage payment is just one component of homeownership costs. Budget for:
- • Property taxes (1-1.5% of home value annually in Toronto)
- • Condo fees (if applicable, $400-800+/month)
- • Home insurance ($1,500-3,000/year)
- • Utilities (hydro, gas, water: $200-400/month)
- • Maintenance reserve (1% of home value annually)
6. Think Long-Term
Real estate is a long-term investment. Consider:
- • Will this home meet your needs for 5-7+ years?
- • Is the neighborhood improving or declining?
- • Are there planned infrastructure projects (transit, schools)?
- • Can you afford the home if rates rise or income decreases?
7. Work with Experienced Professionals
Surround yourself with knowledgeable advisors:
- • Mortgage Broker: Access to multiple lenders, rate negotiation
- • Real Estate Lawyer: Contract review, title search, closing
- • Home Inspector: Property condition assessment
- • Real Estate Agent (Optional): Market knowledge, negotiation support
Alternatively, consider HouseIndex's direct-to-seller platform to connect with private sellers and potentially save on commissions.
Transit and Schools: Key Considerations for Toronto Buyers
Toronto's Expanding Transit Network
Toronto's public transit is undergoing significant expansion, improving connectivity and potentially driving property values:
- Line 6 Finch West LRT: Opening December 2025, this 11-kilometer light rail line with 18 stops connects Finch West station to Humber College, improving access to North York and Etobicoke
- TTC Accessibility: 58 of 70 subway stations projected to be fully accessible by March 2025, improving mobility for all residents
- GO Transit Expansion: Ongoing electrification and frequency improvements across the network, with completion phases between 2025-2032. Lakeshore West, Lakeshore East, and Kitchener lines are most popular
Transit-Oriented Buying Strategy:
Properties within 10-minute walk of subway/LRT stations or GO stations typically command premiums but offer:
- ✓ Reduced commuting costs (no car needed for many)
- ✓ Better resale value and rental demand
- ✓ Access to downtown employment in 30-45 minutes
- ✓ Lifestyle flexibility and convenience
School Considerations for Families
For families, school quality is often a primary consideration. However, school rankings should be viewed critically:
- Fraser Institute Rankings: Annual rankings based on EQAO test results are widely referenced but controversial. The Toronto District School Board (TDSB) cautions these rankings provide a narrow view and don't account for socioeconomic factors or broader student experience
- Beyond Rankings: Visit schools personally, speak with principals and teachers, review programs (French immersion, arts, STEM), consider class sizes and extracurriculars
- Public vs. Private: Toronto has excellent public schools (TDSB, TCDSB) and prestigious private options. Factor tuition costs ($20,000-40,000/year) into affordability if considering private education
Family-Friendly Neighborhoods:
Areas particularly popular with families for schools, parks, and safety:
- • North York (Willowdale, Bayview Village)
- • Etobicoke (Kingsway, Mimico)
- • East York (Leaside)
- • Richmond Hill (outside Toronto proper)
- • Markham (outside Toronto proper)
Frequently Asked Questions
Is now a good time to buy a home in Toronto?
Yes, 2026 presents a favorable environment for buyers compared to recent years. The market is balanced, with 12.5% more inventory than last year, properties spending longer on market (56 days average), and homes selling 3% below asking price on average. Interest rates have declined from their 2023 peak, improving affordability. However, prices remain elevated by historical standards, so buyers should focus on long-term value rather than trying to time the absolute bottom. If you find a property that meets your needs at a monthly payment you can sustain, and you plan to hold for 5-7+ years, current conditions are reasonable for purchasing.
How much does the average home cost in Toronto?
As of November 2025, the average home price in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is $1,039,458, down 6.0% year-over-year. Within the City of Toronto specifically (416 area code), the average is $1,036,362, down 4.1% year-over-year. However, these averages mask significant variation by property type: condominium apartments average $663,290, semi-detached homes $997,499, freehold townhouses $913,078, and detached homes $1,346,017. Prices also vary dramatically by neighborhood—downtown condos can start under $400,000, while detached homes in premium areas exceed $2 million. Your actual budget will depend on the property type and location you're targeting.
What are the best neighborhoods in Toronto for first-time buyers?
For first-time buyers, the best neighborhoods balance affordability, transit access, and future appreciation potential. Downtown Toronto condos offer the most accessible entry points, with some studio units selling for $300,000 or less in 2025. North York has experienced significant price corrections (condos down 12.7% year-over-year), creating value opportunities with excellent subway access. Scarborough offers the most affordable housing within Toronto, with strong future potential from planned transit improvements like the Scarborough Subway Extension. East York neighborhoods like Danforth Village provide character homes at lower prices than central Toronto. Outside Toronto proper, Brampton, Mississauga, and Vaughan offer more space and newer construction at lower price points, though with longer commutes.
Should I choose a fixed or variable mortgage rate in 2026?
In 2026's declining rate environment, variable mortgages may offer savings if the Bank of Canada continues cutting rates. Currently, the best 5-year variable rates are around 3.45%, compared to 3.94% for fixed rates. If you expect further rate cuts (consensus forecasts suggest 2-3 more cuts in 2026), variable could save you money. However, variable rates carry risk—if rates rise unexpectedly, your payments increase. Choose variable if you have financial flexibility, can handle payment fluctuations, and believe rates will continue declining. Choose fixed if you prefer payment certainty, are stretching your budget, or are risk-averse. Many buyers opt for fixed rates for peace of mind, even if it costs slightly more. Consult a mortgage broker to model both scenarios based on your specific situation.
How long does it take to buy a home in Toronto?
The home buying timeline in Toronto typically spans 3-6 months from initial search to closing, though it varies significantly based on your preparedness and market conditions. The process includes: mortgage pre-approval (1-2 weeks), property search (2-8 weeks depending on criteria and market), offer and negotiation (1-3 days), home inspection (1 week), financing finalization (2-3 weeks), and closing (typically 30-90 days from accepted offer). In the current balanced market with elevated inventory, buyers can afford to be more selective, potentially extending the search phase. However, well-priced properties in desirable neighborhoods still move quickly. Being pre-approved, having your down payment ready, and working with experienced professionals can significantly accelerate the process.
What first-time buyer incentives are available in Toronto?
First-time buyers in Toronto can access several valuable programs: The First Home Savings Account (FHSA) allows tax-deductible contributions up to $8,000/year ($40,000 lifetime) with tax-free withdrawals for home purchase. The Home Buyers' Plan (HBP) lets you withdraw up to $35,000 per person ($70,000 for couples) from RRSPs tax-free for your down payment. Ontario first-time buyers receive up to $4,000 rebate on provincial land transfer tax, and Toronto buyers get an additional $4,475 municipal land transfer tax rebate—combined savings of up to $8,475. The GST/HST New Housing Rebate provides partial rebates on new construction homes under $450,000. These programs can significantly reduce your upfront costs and improve affordability. For comprehensive details and strategies to maximize these incentives, see our guide on First-Time Home Buyer Incentives in Ontario.
Conclusion: Navigating Toronto's Market with Confidence
Toronto's real estate market in 2026 offers a fundamentally different environment than the frenzied conditions of 2020-2021. With balanced market conditions, declining interest rates, and increased inventory, buyers have the opportunity to make thoughtful, strategic decisions without the pressure of bidding wars and waived conditions.
Success in this market requires preparation, research, and realistic expectations. Understand your true affordability including all carrying costs, research neighborhoods thoroughly, leverage first-time buyer incentives, and don't skip due diligence like home inspections. The current environment rewards patient, informed buyers who focus on long-term value rather than short-term speculation.
While prices remain elevated by historical standards, the combination of moderating prices, improving mortgage rates, and balanced market dynamics creates genuine opportunities for buyers who approach the market strategically. Whether you're purchasing your first condo in downtown Toronto, a family home in North York, or exploring GTA alternatives, the key is finding a property that meets your needs at a price you can sustain long-term.
Toronto remains one of North America's most dynamic cities, with strong economic fundamentals, continued immigration, and ongoing infrastructure investment. For buyers with a long-term perspective, 2026 represents a window to enter or move up in this market with more confidence and control than in recent years.
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Data Sources & Methodology
- • Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB): Market Watch Reports
- • Bank of Canada: Interest Rate Data and Policy Announcements
- • Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC): Housing Market Data
- • Statistics Canada: Housing Statistics and Census Data
- • Toronto Transit Commission (TTC): Transit Expansion Projects
- • GO Transit: Service Data and Expansion Plans
Methodology: This guide incorporates data from TRREB's November 2025 Market Watch report, Bank of Canada policy announcements, mortgage rate surveys, and transit authority publications. Price data represents actual sold prices, not asking prices. Neighborhood insights based on recent sales data and local market analysis. Affordability calculations use standard mortgage formulas with current rates and stress test requirements.
Last updated: December 15, 2025 | Next update: March 2026
